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To reverse a decade of deteriorating total element productivity, regional labour market policy is shifting from simple task creation to handling active labor force shifts. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more typical as companies integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil rates forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are magnifying their focus on expense discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Financial policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil income frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the priority is reinforcing financial durability through more safe and secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI release, managed labor force shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more difficult and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic need and restored financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most international regions peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will remain a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, including eased foreign ownership rules that intend to stimulate additional investment. The fiscal deficit is forecasted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil rates, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services remain crucial growth drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get once again in the second half of 2026, complementing continuous investment in infrastructure, innovation and worldwide trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has been available in structure diverse, resilient and globally competitive economies.
The Allure of Saudi Arabia's New Service EcosystemsScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring pace, supported by robust need and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversity efforts.
The Allure of Saudi Arabia's New Service EcosystemsWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is real, however rather a fundamental shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international business outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most substantial tactical recalibration in the GCC design's development.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 conferences in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what follows, consisting of the growth and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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