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To reverse a years of weakening total element productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from simple job creation to managing active workforce shifts. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more typical as companies integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil rates forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are magnifying their concentrate on expense discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil income frameworks.
PwC Middle East financial policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is reinforcing economic strength through more secure trade and investment relationships, efficient AI deployment, handled labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resilient domestic need and restored investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outperform most global regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil earnings will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, including reduced foreign ownership guidelines that intend to promote further investment. The financial deficit is predicted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil prices, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain crucial development drivers, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get again in the second half of 2026, matching continuous investment in facilities, technology and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has come in structure diverse, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Oman's New Regulatory Landscape: What to Anticipate NextScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting rate, supported by robust need and rising financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversification efforts.
What identifies 2026 from preceding years is not just the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather a basic shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound transformation.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide organization results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 conferences between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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